похоже, будет дождь

Shortened form; usually needs continuation or intonation; neutral.

A more certain, affirmative prediction of rain.

Direct statement about rain occurring, without introductory words.

Expression of similarity by external signs (clouds, smell): nearly synonymous with “похоже, будет дождь.”

Explicitly expresses probability — more formal and cautious than “it will rain.”

General introductory word expressing doubt or supposition.

Emphasizes the start of precipitation — focuses on the moment rain begins.

Based on auditory perception — you hear a sound like rain.

Indicates approaching clouds — implies it may rain, but does not state it directly.

Personification/description: rain seems near and inevitable — emphasis on imminence.

Prediction of a heavy, short-term rain — stronger in intensity.